Comparatively, Rock Your World ran a 100-BSF, which paced the 2021 group. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . } He earned a 102 for his Preakness and a 105 for his Belmont Stakes victory. Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) is a common metric used to handicap horse racing and contextualize how well a horse ran in a given race. color: #FFF; In a rare circumstance, he would have been favored even if the Kentucky Derby winner, Rich Strike, was running in the Preakness. Early Voting's 122 TimeformUS number and Mo Donegal's 121 figure are the third and fourth best in the field. He later was disqualified for a drug overage and runner-up Mandaloun was promoted to the win. The third and final leg of the horse racing Triple Crown has arrived. When considering his chances to excel at 1 miles in the classic, Olympiad gets a nice stamina boost from the bottom half of his pedigree. This year, Taiba,Messier, and Epicenterboth have topped that mark. When handicapping a horse race, there are more variables than one can count, but using the Beyer Speed Figures will get you headed in the right direction. The Beyer team felt justified for putting the older horse's time in context with the pace and level of the race. Top Beyer Speed Figures. font-size: 12px; Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! We'll analyze the Beyer Speed Figures on the prep . Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. The site is not associated with nor is it endorsed by any professional or collegiate league, association or team. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; Olympiad, with Junior Alvarado in the irons, rolled to a 2 -length victory in the July 2 Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill Downs, his fifth win in a row to start off 2022. Obviously the racing surface at Tampa Bay Downs that day was playing slightly faster. The only thing Sadler would commit to is that Flightline's next race will not be a sprint. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. I think there will be articles about this later in the week, that they've never seen a horse that is faster. After the New York Times gave the book an unexpected rave review, Picking Winners attracted a wide audience. Click Here to sign up for a free subscription. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. However, seven horses posted a BSF between 90-94 in the 2022 crop versus five in 2021. Below well explore Kentucky Derby odds Beyer Speed Figure ratings. Taiba also notched a 102 in winning the Santa Anita Derby April . If the download does not complete, Click Here. [12] Easy Goer also ran 121, 120 and 119 speed figures in the 1989 Travers Stakes, Jockey Club Gold Cup and Whitney Handicap. OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? Triple Crown Winners, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories, General Jim Can Post the Upset in Fountain of Youth Stakes, 2023 Fountain of Youth Stakes Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses. Winds ESE at 5 to 10 mph. This page was last edited on 10 October 2022, at 07:24 (UTC). Anything can happen in a 20-horse race, but this is one example of consistent, positive past performances. GET OUR NEWSLETTER. Below is a closer look at the top Beyer Speed Figure, Brisnet Speed Rating and TimeformUS Speed Figure earned by the 2022 Kentucky Derby contenders. Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby. A colt being trounced in Belmont MSW company may find a soft spot upstate at Finger Lakes, where the par for the class is 59.In most cases, pars are not listed for races restricted to 2- or 3-year-olds. After breaking a step slowly, the 3-year-old took control early on, started to draw clear on the turn and then galloped away from his rivals without ever being asked by jockey Flavien Prat. The 148th running of horse racing's Kentucky Derby will be held Saturday, May 7, 2022, at Churchill Downs in Louisville. Sell. They both earned a Brisnet Rating of 111, which tie with Taibafor the best in the Derby. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. Since making their published debut in 1992, Beyer Speed Figures have become the industry standard for evaluating Thoroughbred performance. Odds Shark does not target an audience under the age of 18. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). Though by no means the end all and be all of picking winners, speed figures provide a good gauge of the overall talent level of horses in a race. Before you place your wagers on the Derby, you'll want the skinny on the horses. In Betting Thoroughbreds, Steve Davidowitz claimed that (in 1974), "the top-figure horse wins 35 percent of the time, at a slight loss for every $2.00 wagered." That's not about to change. On the Equibase scale, the 100 she earned is tied for the second-best last-out figure. This is an example of using the top figure as a "power rating," or singular measure of a horse's ability. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. [1], The record for the highest Beyer Speed figure is held by Groovy, the 1987 American Champion Sprint Horse who earned 133 and 132 in back-to-back races,[2] in the Roseben and True North Handicaps at six furlongs in 1987. Sprinter Turf Male Turf Female. Below is the best and most recent BSF from each horse in the 2022 Kentucky Derby Field. Bet with your head, not over it. Secret Oath's 103 number ranks as good as anyone who did not run in the Wood Memorial. Taiba earned a 111 Brisnet rating in winning the Santa Anita Derby, the same number earned by both Mo Donegal and Early Voting, who were separated by just a neck when 1-2 in the Wood. Flightline was given a 118 Beyer figure for his sensational performance in Sunday's GI Runhappy Malibu S. at Santa Anita, which is the top figure assigned to any horse this year. with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. He's done a super job and he's made all the right moves. Indy are both major stamina influences as broodmare sires and Olympiads family also produced 1987 Ashland Stakes winner Chic Shirine and 2015 Travers Stakes winner Keen Ice. A horse doesnt have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but its also difficult to make an enormous leap of 10+ from a career-best in a prep race and win the Derby. Beyer Speed Figures are a great tool. . She turned in her first workout on the Churchill Downs surface on Saturday, April 30, going four furlongs in 47.80 seconds. Beyer Speed Figures earned by Messier (103) and Adare Manor (94) in their blowout victories yesterday at Santa Anita were the highest by male and female 3-year-olds, respectively, thus far in 2022. Epicenter (+400) ran his own 102 BSF race in the Louisiana Derby (G2). In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. 38 Flatter Died 2022 67 111 17 0 $665,300 3 3 4% 0 0 0% 96 Hero Status. . Since 1992, 27 of 30 Kentucky Derby winners have entered the race with a career-best Beyer speed figure of at least 95. On this Wikipedia the language links are at the top of the page across from the article title. .tableizer-table th { In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. border: 1px solid #CCC; He is recognized on the Joe Hirsch Honor Roll in the National Museum of Racing for excellence in turf writing. While news that Kentucky Derby sensation Rich Strike will skip the Preakness Stakes surely tamping down some of the fervor over the big race, that doesn't mean there's nothing to watch for or bet on this Saturday. The Malibu was the longest start of his career. May 11:Strobe quick early, late in sparkling debut victory, May 25:Pricey Nabokov pays off with 91 Beyer, June 2:Forte shouldimprove with distance, Beyer Slideshow featuring last weekends stakes winners from around the country with Beyer Speed Figures, sire/breeder information and more. f: (732) 747-8955. For example, Messier posted a 98 Beyer in his most recent race but also has a 103 on his resume, indicating a consistent high-level performer. Jessica Morgan / Eclipse Sportswire. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. His Beyer Speed Figure of 92 is only 4 points off the second best number. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Hence, their status as longshots. Bet with your head, not over it. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? The handicapping, sports odds information contained on this website is for entertainment purposes only. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to earn a figure above 100, earning a 102 Beyer in the Louisiana Derby. Wednesday College Basketball Best Bets: Will Texas Road Slump Continue? Those who live and die by the speed figures may give Early Voting a chance to upset Epicenter andSkippylongstockinga shot to hit the board, but neither runner has any previous figure that is strong enough to lean on. Another very fast horse who was handled that way was Ghostzapper (Awesome Again). We the People (2-1) Skippylongstocking (20-1) . Flightline had already made headlines before his first career start, selling for $1 million at the 2019 Fasig-Tipton Saratoga sale. 2022 Preakness: Beyer Speed Figures For Every Horse. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. His Carter victory earned a career-high Beyer Speed Figure of 114. Early Voting's previous high was only a 91. Several other companies produce and sell power ratings, but most do not reveal their precise methodology. He was assigned a 103 Beyer Speed figure for that effort which is the highest in the field. color: #FFF; Not a subscriber? OddsShark horse racing expert Michael Dempsey will be providing his selections and analysis for both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby Day cards at turfnsport.com. [2] Flightline earned a 126 speed figure in winning the 2022 Pacific Classic Stakes at Del Mar Racetrack in 2022. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. He's the kind of horse that when he's right and ready to run that's when he's going to go. At Belmont Park, maiden special weight races for older horses have a par of 87. Taiba broke his maiden with that impressive number in a six-furlong race on March 5. background-color: #104E8B; Timeform Ratings go a step further in trying to be both accurate and objective. Questions of general interest will be preferred for publication. CLICK HERE TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE TDN FOR FREE! Last year, he was on fire. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. Sometimes, variants are split during the day if the surface changes drastically enough. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back. The end result also included a 98 Beyer, which matches the best speed figure run so far by Zandon, the morning-line Derby favorite. The team that puts out the Beyer speed figure numbers made it official Monday morning. Un Ojo Ethereal Road and Happy Jack have the lowest career-best BSFs. 92. Danzing Candy ran steadily improving figures over his first four races (72-89-92-100) before falling apart in the Santa Anita Derby - when he set a wicked pace over a sloppy track and faded to . Play today with NYRA Bets! Happy Jack. The latter calculation compensates for a racetrack running faster or slower than usual. Video Poker Guide: Play the Best Online Video Poker Games, Tacitus 2019 Kentucky Derby Contender Profile, 2022 Belmont Stakes Odds: We The People Overtakes Mo Donegal On The Oddsboard, 2022 Breeders Cup Predictions: Expert Picks And Best Bets. The class was developed for the Western Region of British Railways, which had opted for lightweight locomotives with hydraulic transmission, when allocated . Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . The best horses in the U.S. generally earn Beyer Speed Figures between 105 and 115. Such situations can often arise in turf races when an extremely slow pace prevents horses from running a final time of which they would normally be capable.In cases where figures are questionable, races are reviewed after horses in the field run again. In 1963, Taulbot sent his parallel-time chart to Beyer's Harvard classmate, Sheldon Kovitz, who adjusted it to account for velocity (e.g., a horse who runs six furlongs in 1:09 will run its seventh furlong faster than one who runs 1:13, and so forth). First published in book form in 1975, the Daily Racing Form began incorporating Beyer Speed Figures in a horse's past performances in 1992 and the system now assigns a Beyer number for each horse race. If their calculations would produce a figure that defies logic (due to a timing error, or a sudden change in the condition of the track, for example) they will assign the race a figure that reflects the true ability of horses in the field. Other Andrew Beyer Breeders Cup picks are on the main page. Click here to sign up for the daily PDF or alerts. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. Seven of the 12 earned a BSF in the Kentucky Derby of 103 or higher. A bay son of Not This Time, Epicenter has seen his Beyer Speed Figures go up in every race of his career, peaking with a 102 in the Louisiana Derby. With a large field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, want to see the horse racing predictions from racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir before making any 2022 Blue Grass . Please confirm the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and country to country. ECLIPSE AWARD EQUIBASE SPEED FIGURE LEADERS LISTS 2023. Beyer Speed Figures favorEpicenter, and it is not very close. For example, horse "A" has gotten Beyer Speed Figures of 90, 82, and 89 in his last three races. Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. For the purpose of this particular preview we'll just . In the only . For example, a horse who earns three consecutive figures of 102, and defeats a horse with three consecutive figures of 92, would indicate a projected figure of 102 for that race is accurate. . Epicenter might have grabbed the weekend headlines by winning the Grade 2 Risen Star and picking up 50 qualifying points for the 2022 Kentucky Derby.But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. Last year, he was on fire. Beyer explained that rating a horses ability on just the final time of the race was not good enough, because racing surfaces can vary from day to day based on the weather, how the track is maintained and other factors. Overall, the 2022 Kentucky Derby field looks generally faster than the 2021 field. The Beyer Speed Figure is calculated by looking at the final time and distance of the race, adjusted by the track variant, which is a measure of the inherent speed of the racetrack in question. According to the speed figures, Arkansas is the circuit to avoid in this year's Kentucky Derby. (16-1) earned a 93 Beyer . No one else has topped 96. [23], As Beyer has noted, a speed figure is a numerical expression of a horse's final time, universalized for distance, track surface, and the daily variant on that surface. Beyer said that if his figures were around in 1973, Secretariat would have earned a 139 Beyer for his Belmont Stakes victory. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. Beyer Figures became part of Daily Racing Form past performances in 1992. Donaldson's Consistent Handicapping Profits (1936), which was cited by Jerry Brown as the method on which the Ragozin and Brown "sheet" figures are based. margin: 3px; Epicenter is the only other horse in the field to . The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. .tableizer-table td { But it was a 5-year-old who had the fastest race of the weekend, at least according to two sources. In 2019, Country House received the win with a 99 BSF. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . There's nothing written in stone, but I am mindful of the fact that I need to be careful.. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. So some of the traditional rules may not apply. font-size: 12px; Regularly updated current leaders in Beyer Figures, by division, Stormy Liberal's 119 Beyer one for the books, Context matters in determining Beyers for Personal Ensign Stakes, Beyer analysis supports Justify as Derby favorite, Slight edge to American Pharoah over Justify on speed figures, Purchase Beyer on Demand & Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures Click here >>, Download free sample Lifetime Beyer Speed Figures. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. 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